The long-anticipated FA Cup semi-final has now been and gone, with Chelsea eventually emerging victorious in a thrilling 4-2 encounter at Wembley. Chelsea bested Tottenham on the big Wembley stage, yes, and this may go on to give them the confidence to overcome their rivals in their pursuit of a fifth Premier League title. But Tottenham, semi-final aside, are in a stunning vein of form that could see them push Chelsea right to the wire. I’m going to have a look at the remaining fixtures, which will ultimately decide which of these two teams will lift the Premier League trophy.
Chelsea fixtures: Southampton (h), Everton (a), Middlesbrough (h), West Brom (a), Watford (h), Sunderland (h)
Tottenham fixtures: Crystal Palace (a), Arsenal (h), West Ham (a), Manchester United (h), Leicester (a), Hull City (a)
On paper, Chelsea’s fixtures seem far easier. Home ties against relegation-battling Boro and Sunderland look to be certain victories, with Southampton, West Brom and Watford unlikely to offer much resistance against the dominant force Chelsea has been this season. The game they are most likely to drop points in will be the trip to Everton, where current top scorer Lukaku will be looking to score against his old club. Having said that, Chelsea won the reverse fixture a stunning 5-0, suggesting this game may not be as difficult as first predicted. In fact, Chelsea won all of the reverse fixtures against the six teams they are yet to face in their end of season run in. Could it be 18 points from a possible 18? Chelsea need to win just 5 of them to take their points total mathematically out of reach to the other challengers Tottenham.
My Chelsea points prediction: 91 (WDWWWW)
Tottenham face a much tougher run in on paper. Games against two of the top six in Arsenal and United will be their biggest stumbling blocks in their chase of Chelsea. However, both of these fixtures are at home. Tottenham have made White Hart Lane a fortress this season, losing no games and scoring 43 goals whilst conceding just 8. Their previous two home fixtures have been 4-0 victories against Watford and Bournemouth, so they will be full of confidence heading into these home fixtures. Away games at giant-killing Palace, who have beaten Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool this season, champions Leicester and London rivals West Ham will all be difficult trips for Spurs. In the reverse fixtures Tottenham are unbeaten against the four teams they face in away games during their run-in: wins against Palace, West Ham and Hull and a draw against Leicester. With a more difficult end to the season, it’s difficult to see Tottenham winning all 6 to push Chelsea to the last day of the season.
My Tottenham points prediction: 85 (WWDDWW)
With Chelsea having the ‘easier’ run-in and the ascendancy after their semi-final win, and Tottenham being in excellent form, it will be interesting to see how the end of the season shapes up. Chelsea also have an FA Cup final to contest with, but they look set to be named champions if they keep up the form they’ve shown consistently all season. Tottenham have the second best attack and the best defence in the league, and will be sure to give everything they’ve got to keep the pressure on until the end of the season.
Can Tottenham get 18 points and force Chelsea to do the same? Time will tell.